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In this seminar, Dr Margaret Wilson will illustrate her approach to studying terrorist behaviour, showing how empirical data can be used to uncover the key dimensions that distinguish between terrorist attacks, and demonstrate predictability in terrorist action that can be used to inform policy. Models will be presented from three areas of terrorist behaviour; aerial hijackings, political assassinations and bombing campaigns. The models demonstrate how it is possible to predict the outcome in hostage taking incidents, follow changes in the strategies chosen by a terrorist group over time, and why what terrorists don’t do can be as interesting as the things they do.